Golden State Warriors vs New York Knicks Odds, Predictions & Player Props (Feb. 29)
by Sascha Paruk in NBA Basketball
Updated Feb 29, 2024 · 6:29 AM PST
Nov 18, 2022; San Francisco, California, USA; New York Knicks guard Jalen Brunson (11) shoots over Golden State Warriors guard Stephen Curry (30) during the third quarter at Chase Center. Mandatory Credit: D. Ross Cameron-USA TODAY SportsThe Golden State Warriors visit the New York Knicks on Leap DayWith the Knicks still suffering from a rash of injuries, the Warriors a road favoritesSee the Warriors vs Knicks odds, predictions, and player props on Feb. 29
The Golden State Warriors (30-27, 14-12 away, 31-25-1 ATS) continue a four-game road trip on Thursday when they visit the New York Knicks (35-24, 20-10 home, 30-27-2 ATS) at Madison Square Garden at 7:40 pm ET. The Dubs started their trip with a 123-112 win at Washington on Tuesday, their ninth win in the last 11 games.
With the Knicks still reeling from injuries, Golden State has been listed as a road favorite in tonight’s Warriors vs Knicks odds.
Golden State Warriors vs New York Knicks Odds
Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
---|---|---|---|
Golden State Warriors | -4 (-105) | -174 | Over 222.5 (-110) |
New York Knicks | +4 (-115) | +146 | Under 222.5 (-110) |
The Warriors are laying four points to New York in Thursday’s NBA odds while sitting at -174 on the moneyline. The Knicks are +146 home underdogs to win straight-up, while the game total is 222.5.
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Odds as of Feb. 29 at FanDuel. See that latest news on FanDuel North Carolina before launch on March 11, 2024.
While the Warriors have moved four games clear of Utah for the #10 seed in the Western Conference, they are still 3.5 games out of the top six in the latest NBA playoff bracket. New York, just 3-7 in its past ten, still holds the #4 seed in the East, with both Miami and Philadelphia 1.5 games back.
Warriors Stay Hot to Start Road Trip
Since falling five games under .500 on Jan. 27, no team has been hotter than the Warriors. Golden State has won 11 of 14 games since, covering the spread in every single victory. They have quietly improved to 31-25-1 against the number, which is the third-best cover rate in the entire NBA. The Dubs handed the Wizards their 12th straight loss on Tuesday, cruising to a 123-112 win in the nation’s capital, getting 25 points off the bench from Klay Thompson, who’s adjusted seamlessly to his new role.
Thompson (17.2 PPG, 3.5 RPG, 2.3 APG) scored 20-plus points in just one of his last seven games as a starter, but has reached that plateau in three of five games off the bench, including a season-high 35 at Utah on Feb. 15. Jonathan Kuminga (15.4 PPG, 4.7 RPG) continued his breakout season with 21 points, six rebounds, and five assists, while Steph Curry (27.5 PPG, 5.1 APG) added 18 points and six assists on an off night shooting-wise (6-of-21 from the field).
Golden State is back in the top ten in Offensive Rating (117.5, 9th) while also improve to 18th in D-Rating (115.6). They were outside the top 20 for much of the season but have, sensibly, looked much better at that end of the court since Draymond Green returned from suspension in mid-January.
Knicks Routed by Pelicans Without Brunson
Already without Julius Randle (24.0 PPG, 9.2 RPG, 5.0 APG), OG Anunoby (15.6 PPG, 4.6 RPG), and Mitchell Robinson (6.2 PPG, 10.3 RPG), the Knicks were forced to take the court sans leading scorer Jalen Brunson (27.7 PPG, 6.7 APG) on Tuesday against the Pelicans. The result was a predictable 115-92 rout in which New York’s shot just 37.3% from the floor (31-of-83).
The game prior, with Brunson in the lineup, New York came perilously close to losing at home to the NBA-worst Detroit Pistons, needing a last-second no-call to secure a 113-111 win.
The injury-riddled Knicks have just two wins in their past eight games, the other W coming against the also-injury-riddled 76ers on Feb. 22 (110-96). They have been even worse against the spread, with just one ATS win in their past ten.
Randle, Anunoby, and Robinson all remain out of the lineup on Thursday. Brunson is listed as questionable in today’s NBA lineups due to the neck injury that held him out on Tuesday.
New York still sits in the top ten in O-Rating (117.6, eighth) but has fallen out of the top ten in D-Rating (113.5, 11th).
Thursday’s game will be the first of two meetings between the teams this year. Each won on its home court last season.
GSW vs NYK Player Props
Player | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Three-Pointers Made |
---|---|---|---|---|
Brandin Podziemski (GSW) | 10.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) | 6.5 (Ov +114 | Un -145) | 4.5 (Ov +124 | Un -160) | 1.5 (Ov +170 | Un -220) |
Draymond Green (GSW) | 7.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) | 6.5 (Ov -130 | Un -100) | 5.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) | 0.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) |
Jalen Brunson (NYK) | 31.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) | 3.5 (Ov -100 | Un -130) | 7.5 (Ov +120 | Un -150) | 2.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) |
Jonathan Kuminga (GSW) | 16.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 5.5 (Ov +110 | Un -140) | 2.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) | 0.5 (Ov +124 | Un -160) |
Steph Curry (GSW) | 26.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 3.5 (Ov +105 | Un -135) | 4.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) | 5.5 (Ov +135 | Un -175) |
NBA player props from DraftKings on Feb. 29.
With Brunson’s status in question, he is actually the only Knicks player listed in the props for today’s game. Obviously, his presence/absence would significantly impact the over/unders for all of his teammates. If Brunson doesn’t play, all wagers on his props will be voided.
Warriors vs Knicks Prediction
This is a tale of two teams headed in opposite directions. New York might be set up well for a postseason run when healthy, but that’s not the case right now. Brunson is having to shoulder an unsustainable load while Randle and Anunoby are sidelined, and he’s clearly less than 100% (if he plays at all). The Warriors, meanwhile, have covered the spread in each of their last 13 victories, and I expect that to become 14 on Thursday night at MSG.
GSW vs NYK pick: Warriors -4 (-110)
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Sascha Paruk’s 2023-24 NBA betting record:
17-21 moneyline (+4.06 units)14-13-2 ATS (+0.86 units)7-12 player props (-6.82 units)0-3 same-game parlay (-3.00 units)
All wagers one unit unless expressly stated otherwise