Green Bay Packers vs San Francisco 49ers Odds, Picks & Best Betting Promos
by Ryan Metivier in NFL Football
Updated Jan 20, 2024 · 4:07 PM PST
Jan 14, 2024; Arlington, Texas, USA; Green Bay Packers quarterback Jordan Love (10) reacts after a touchdown against the Dallas Cowboys in the first quarter for the 2024 NFC wild card game at AT&T Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Tim Heitman-USA TODAY SportsSaturday’s Divisional Round continues with the 49ers hosting the Packers at 8:15 pm EST at Levi’s StadiumEach of Jordan Love and Aaron Jones had three touchdowns last week versus DallasGet the Packers vs 49ers odds, picks and predictions for the Divisional Round Playoffs here
Fresh off a bye as the NFC’s #1 seed, the San Francisco 49ers host the Green Bay Packers who cruised to victory over the Dallas Cowboys in the Wild Card Playoffs. Oddsmakers have clearly sided with San Fran though in the Packers vs 49ers odds, making the 49ers 10-point favorites.
Read on for the full Green Bay vs San Francisco odds and our top Packers vs 49ers prediction here.
Packers vs 49ers Odds
Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
---|---|---|---|
Green Bay | +10 (-110) | +375 | Over 50.5 (-110) |
San Francisco | -10 (-110) | -500 | Under 50.5 (-110) |
The NFC’s #1 seed San Francisco comes into Saturday’s game as 10-point favorites. At -500 in the Packers vs 49ers odds, San Fran is given an implied probability of 83.33 to win straight up. The total is set at 50.5 points and has creeped up from 49.5 earlier this week.
The Packers vs 49ers betting line has shifted from 9.5 to 10 in the hours leading up to kickoff. They moneyline has also shifted in favor of San Francisco, moving from -450 to -500.
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How to Watch Green Bay vs San Francisco
Viewers in the United States can watch this Green Bay vs San Francisco game on Saturday on FOX, while viewers in Canada can watch on DAZN or TSN.
Packers vs 49ers Head-to-Head History
These teams last played in NFC Divisional Playoffs in 2022 with San Fran winning 13-10. The 49ers have won three of the past five meetings but the Green Bay has won four of the past three.
Packers vs 49ers Public Betting Trends
In betting splits for NFL public betting, it’s Green Bay seeing more of the money bet on the spread, but San Fran getting a higher bet count. The moneyline splits are quite interesting, with Green Bay getting 51% of ML handle but only 18% of bets. This indicates some big-money bettors are predicting an upset.
Totals-wise, there is 71% of the money and 60% of the bets coming in on Over 50.5 points in the Packers vs 49ers betting splits.
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Packers Betting Preview
The youngest team in the NFL is maturing in front of our eyes this season. The Packers have been one of the hottest teams down the stretch, now winners of seven of their past nine games after last week’s 48-32 win over Dallas.
While the score will look relatively close, but the Packers were up 27-7 at the half and 48-16 early in the fourth quarter before Dallas got anything going.
Jordan Love threw for 272 yards and 3 TDs and Aaron Jones ran in 3 TDs of his own. Green Bay picked off Dak Prescott three times and Darnell Savage returned one of those INTs for a score.
Love was second in TDs this season only behind Prescott. He’s been on-point with 23 TD passes in his last ten games alone, throwing multiple TD passes in nine of those ten games. He’s also thrown just 1 interception across his past nine games.
For Jones, since returning from injury, he’s been a focal point of the offense with four-straight 100+ yard rushing games, averaging 119 yards in those last four.
The Packers are now 4-0 SU and ATS heading into Saturday and have scored 30 or more points in three of those four games.
Packers are the youngest team in the NFL on a snaps-played basis with an average age of 25.7 years old.
49ers by contrast are the 3rd oldest team on a snaps-played basis with an average age of 27.6 years old.
Factor in Green Bay's war chest of draft picks, their franchise QB,… pic.twitter.com/kdWtxvsfwf
— IKE Packers Podcast (@IKE_Packers) January 18, 2024
49ers Betting Preview
San Francisco has been near-perfect this season. A five-game winning streak to start the year was halted by a three-game losing skid, but after coming out of their bye week they rolled to six straight wins before losing to Baltimore 33-19 on Christmas Day. They ended the season with a route of Washington (27-10) and a 21-20 loss to the Rams in Week 18 with nothing on the line and resting starters.
That 17-point win over the Commanders in Week 17 was one of many lopsided results in San Fran’s favor this season as 11 of their 12 wins came by double-digits.
Since the bye week alone, they’ve had wins of 31, 13, 18, 23, 12, 16 and then 17 points. But earlier this season they also won by 23, 7, 18, 19 and 32 points.
The 49ers’ offense finished 3rd (PPG), 2nd (YPG), 4th (passing YPG) and 3rd (rushing YPG). The defense was nearly just as strong ranking 3rd in PPG allowed, 8th (YPG), 14th (passing) and 3rd (rushing).
Brock Purdy finished the year third in the NFL MVP odds and finds himself only behind Lamar Jackson in the current Super Bowl MVP odds. In fact, five of the top 13 favorites for Super Bowl MVP all come from the 49ers with Christian McCaffrey, Deebo Samuel, Brandon Aiyuk and Nick Bosa all having outstanding seasons.
McCaffrey tied with Miami’s Raheem Mostert for the most touchdowns scored among non-quarterbacks with 21 and is always worth considering in your Packers vs 49ers props.
Packers vs 49ers Head-to-Head Stats
PackersVS49ers
9-8 / 9-8 Record / ATS 12-5 / 9-8 12th (22.5) PPG Scored 3rd (28.9) 11th YPG Offense 2nd 12th Passing YPG 4th 15th Rushing YPG 3rd 10th (20.6) PPG Allowed 3rd (17.5) 17th YPG Allowed 8th 9th Passing YPG Allowed 14th 28th Rushing YPG Allowed 3rd *Regular season stats
Packers vs 49ers Prediction
Packers’ games have been lining the pockets of Over bettors being 11-7 to the Over this season when combining the regular season and playoffs. They’ve also gone 7-1 to the Over in their past eight games.
San Francisco too has cashed more Over bets than Unders, going 10-7 to the Over overall, while being 3-1 and 5-2 to the Over in recent games.
Green Bay has gone 7-4 ATS as an underdog and 4-3 ATS as an away underdog. While San Fran is 9-8 ATS as a favorite, but just 3-5 ATS as a home favorite.
Kyle Shanahan joined the 49ers as head coach in 2017, and since 2017, the 49ers have gone an equal 4-4 ATS after a bye, so that hasn’t been a huge advantage in his tenure.
Jordan Love has flipped a switch the second half of the season 👀 pic.twitter.com/XL8W6EW8m8
— PFF (@PFF) January 18, 2024
Shanahan has also not been the greatest bet as a favorite in his career being 34-36-1 ATS in that role, while Matt LaFleur is 20-8 ATS as an underdog.
Meanwhile, both quarterbacks have excelled in their current roles, albeit with short sample sizes. Love is 7-4 ATS as a dog, while Purdy is 17-7 ATS when favored.
A double-digit win by the 49ers would surprise no one; they’ve been doing it all season. Furthermore, double-digit favorites in the playoffs have gone 13-0 SU and 12-1 ATS in recent years.
But the Packers and Love are hot at the right time and could make a game of it. Rather than worrying about who wins and by how much, let’s back a competitive game where the Over comes into play.
Packers vs 49ers Picks: Over 50.5
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