Stuttgart vs Hamburg

Just four places separate these two strugglers, and whilst a draw may not suit either team it is the best bet at 11/4

14th place Hamburg make the trip to the Mercedes Benz Arena on Saturday to face bottom of the table Stuttgart. What the game may lack in quality will almost certainly be made up for in passion and atmosphere as the relegation strugglers fight tooth and nail for survival. With little to choose between the teams, a tightly contested draw looks the most likely outcome.

1.     Stuttgart have drawn just under 40% of their games this season, whilst Hamburg have drawn more games away from home than they have won. The 11/4 priced draw is great value.

2.     A staggeringly high 44% of Stuttgart games have produced over 3.5 goals. Both teams have also failed to keep clean sheets in over 75% of their matches, so goals are expected in this one. Over 3.5 is available at 15/8.

3.     Stuttgart have been level at half time in a league high 53% of their games. Back half time result: Draw, full time result: Draw at 5/1.

4.     Ivica Olic has six goals in the Bundesliga for Hamburg this season, with four of these coming away from home. At 9/4 he is decent value to score again.

5.     6.7% of Stuttgart home matches have resulted in a 3-3 draw, whilst Hamburg have either scored or conceded three goals on five separate occasions in their   campaign. A 3-3 correct score prediction is a massive price at 66/1.

6.    Hamburg are notoriously slow starters, allowing their opponents to score the first goal in over 55% of their games this season. Back Stuttgart to open the scoring at 1/2.

7.    In a season of struggles, Martin Harnik has been a shining light for Stuttgart with eight goals in the campaign. 50% of these have been the opening goal of the game, and odds of 9/2 are available for him to get the first one in this match.