Week 15 NFL Picks Against the Spread – Early Lines to Target
by Robert Duff in NFL Football
Updated Dec 13, 2023 · 10:27 AM PST
Dec 11, 2023; East Rutherford, New Jersey, USA; New York Giants quarterback Tommy DeVito (15) throws a pass during the second quarter against the Green Bay Packers at MetLife Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Robert Deutsch-USA TODAY SportsIn the Week 15 NFL picks against the spread, the Dallas Cowboys (9-4 ATS) are the team with league’s best cover rate (69.2%)The Carolina Panthers (2-9-2) have returned to their role as the NFL’s worst ATS team this seasonAll of the Week 15 NFL picks against the spread and early lines to target are outlined in the story below
As Week 14 came to a conclusion and we look ahead to the Week 15 NFL picks against the spread, as hard as it may be to believe, things got worse. The fall of 1-2 took a tumble downward.
An 0-2-1 week of ATS picks was heartbreaking, to say the least. If the Ravens and Vikings each put one more point on the board, yours truly goes 2-1 ATS.
Still, when you finish a week of the NFL season with fewer wins than the Patriots, you should feel shame. And yet, we must move on and look ahead optimistically to the NFL Week 15 ATS picks. It’s interesting to note that seven of top eight ATS squads in the NFL this season failed to cover during Week 14.
Let’s look ahead to the current NFL odds for the Week 15 ATS picks.
It’s certainly trendy to be riding the positive waves being created by New York Giants QB Tommy DeVito and Chicago Bears QB Justin Fields. Both are coming into Week 15 off solid home victories over NFC North clubs. In the Week 15 ATS picks, the feeling is to stay on board the DeVito train, but take a pass this week on Fields.
Speaking of QBs who are lighting it up, you should be all over the Rams and Matthew Stafford at home this week.
Now, let’s check out all the best early bets in the Week 15 ATS picks.
Week 15 NFL Picks Against the Spread
Matchup | Spread | Pick | Units Risked |
---|---|---|---|
New York Giants vs New Orleans Saints | NO-6 | NYG | 1 |
Washington Commanders vs Los Angeles Rams | LAR-6.5 | LAR | 1 |
Chicago Bears vs Cleveland Browns | CLE-3 | CLE | 1 |
Our top NFL ATS picks this week in the table above will feature plays on the Giants, Rams, and Browns.
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NFL ATS Picks 1: Giants Tommy Puts On Another Show
Does QB Tommy DeVito have a long-term future with the New York Giants? Who knows? His immediate future is what matters right now. Coming off his biggest game as a pro, beating the Packers on MNF, DeVito and the Giants go to New Orleans as a six-point road underdogs.
Beautiful catch by Isaiah Hodgins. Better ball by Tommy Devito pic.twitter.com/odf0vq7ZRN
— Bobby Skinner (@BobbySkinner_) December 13, 2023
The Saints are a dismal 1-7 ATS in their last eight home games. New Orleans might win this game, but take the Giants to cover.
NFL ATS Picks: New York Giants +6 (-115), 1 unit
NFL ATS Picks 2: Rams Are Surprisingly Good
The Los Angeles Rams put a scare into the Ravens in Baltimore last week, finally succumbing in OT. The LA offense is averaging 422 yards per game the past three weeks. QB Matthew Stafford looks reborn.
Only 2 NFL teams have thrown fewer than 10 TDs this season:
– Pittsburgh Steelers (9)– New York Jets (9)
Matthew Stafford has thrown for more TDs (10) over the last three weeks.
— Daniel Valente (@StatsGuyDaniel) December 12, 2023
This week, they get to attack a Commanders squad that is last in the NFL in total defense (4,938 yards allowed), passing defense (3,458 yards allowed) and scoring defense (30.4 points per game allowed).
NFL ATS Picks: Los Angeles Rams -6.5 (-115), 1 unit
NFL ATS Picks 3: Browns Defense Stymies Fields
The Chicago Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last five games. They just whipped the NFC North-leading Detroit Lions. It’s trendy to get on the Justin Fields bandwagon.
He hasn’t seen anything like the Cleveland defense, though. The Browns are an NFL-best 6-1 SU and ATS at home this season. Their defense allows 3.8 yards per carry and 4.6 yards per pass attempt at home. Cleveland has also recorded 28 sacks at home.
NFL ATS Picks: Cleveland Browns -3 (-125), 1 unit
NFL ATS record: 14-26-2
Week 15 NFL Picks Against the Spread Quick Picks
Raiders (-3) vs Chargers: Easton Stick will be at QB for LA. With a name like that, shouldn’t he be a hockey player?Bengals (-3.5) vs Vikings: Nick Mullens starts at QB for Minnesota. Cincinnati is 6-3 ATS in the past nine gamesColts (-2.5) vs Steelers: Pittsburgh is 1-3 ATS over the past four games. Maybe it wasn’t all Matt Canada’s faultBroncos (+5) vs Lions: Denver is 5-2 ATS through the last seven gamesDolphins (-8.5) vs Jets: Miami bounces back at home against the JetsChiefs (-9.5) vs Patriots: New England should fix what’s been ailing Kansas CityTitans (-2.5) vs Texans: Houston is 2-5 ATS in the last seven gamesPanthers (+3) vs Falcons: Atlanta is 3-9 ATS over the last 12 games and 2-4 ATS on the road this season49ers (-13.5) vs Cardinals: Yes, it’s a lot of points, but San Francisco has covered twice recently against Arizona as the 14.5-point chalkBills (-2.5) vs Cowboys: Both teams are coming off emotional wins, but Buffalo needs to keep winningRavens (-3.5) vs Jaguars: Jacksonville is a disappointing 2-4 ATS at home this seasonSeahawks (+4) vs Eagles: Seattle is 1-5 SU in the last six games, but the Seahawks are 3-1 ATS over the past four contests